24/03/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
1-2
Muğlaspor vs Yatağanspor Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
Over Pick
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
34%
4-5
28%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 54% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
36%
Home Win
40%
20%
Draw
24%
44%
Away Win
36%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Muğlaspor v Yatağanspor — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Muğlaspor
The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Yatağanspor
The Market 39%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+46% /
+46%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-26%
/
–
46%
Ball Possession
54%
14
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
2
239 · 73%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
388 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Muğlaspor vs Yatağanspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Muğlaspor nicked a narrow win over Yatağanspor 2-1.
Our pre-match lean was Yatağanspor at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of Muğlaspor vs Yatağanspor?
Muğlaspor 2-1 Yatağanspor in the Turkey - Regional Amateur League on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Muğlaspor vs Yatağanspor?
Before kick-off our model rated an Yatağanspor win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Muğlaspor 36%, draw 20%, Yatağanspor 44%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Yatağanspor) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Yatağanspor)
✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
BAL
More Turkey - Regional Amateur League
24 Mar 2024