Placido De Castro 1-2 Galvez Esporte Clube — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Acreano, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.11
Draw
12%
7.78
Away
19%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under
26%
Over Pick
74%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
70%
No
30%
Total Goals
0-1
17%
2-3
34%
4-5
32%
6+
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
5%
1/X
2%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 74%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
69%
Home Win
85%
-16.1pp
13%
Draw
10%
+2.9pp
19%
Away Win
5%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Placido De Castro The Market 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Galvez Esporte Clube The Market 8%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +79%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
464 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Placido De Castro vs Galvez Esporte Clube
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galvez Esporte Clube nicked a narrow win over Placido De Castro 2-1 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Placido De Castro at 69% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (74%), both teams to score (70%) came in.

What was the final score of Placido De Castro vs Galvez Esporte Clube?

Placido De Castro 1-2 Galvez Esporte Clube in the Brazil - Acreano on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Placido De Castro vs Galvez Esporte Clube?

Before kick-off our model rated a Placido De Castro win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Placido De Castro 69%, draw 13%, Galvez Esporte Clube 19%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Placido De Castro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Placido De Castro) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →