Avai 2-2 Brusque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Catarinense 1, 24 Mar 2024

Avai
2-2 HT 1-1
Brusque
📅24/03/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Brazil - Catarinense 1 – 2024

Avai vs Brusque Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
3.08
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
29%
+11.2pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.8pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Avai v Brusque — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avai EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Brusque EU Bookmakers 51%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.68/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/0.40
+50% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
261 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.0

Avai vs Brusque Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avai
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Brusque
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.51 xG 1.06
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
408 Passes 204
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 8
32 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.02.2023 Avai Avai 1-1 HT 1-0 Brusque Brusque BRCAT1
19.03.2022 Brusque Brusque 0-0 HT 0-0 Avai Avai BRCAT1
14.03.2022 Avai Avai 1-1 HT 1-1 Brusque Brusque BRCAT1
10.02.2022 Brusque Brusque 1-0 HT 1-0 Avai Avai BRCAT1
04.09.2021 Brusque Brusque 0-0 HT 0-0 Avai Avai BR2
13.06.2021 Avai Avai 1-2 HT 0-0 Brusque Brusque BR2
POST-MATCH Avai vs Brusque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avai and Brusque shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 19% / 41%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brusque led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Avai and 0.83 for Brusque.

What was the final score of Avai vs Brusque?

Avai 2-2 Brusque in the Brazil - Catarinense 1 on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avai vs Brusque?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brusque win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Avai 40%, draw 19%, Brusque 41%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brusque) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brusque) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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