Kosta Rika 3-1 Honduras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.56
Over 2.5
34%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.04
6+ Goals
8%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.3pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.3pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
60%
+5.3pp
34%
Over 2.5
40%
-5.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-5.1pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kosta Rika EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Honduras EU Bookmakers 31%
-59% / -59% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
0.40/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.11
-100% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
17.0 Crosses 18.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kosta Rika
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Honduras
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.12 xG 1.27
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
230 Passes 324
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.11.2021 Kosta Rika Kosta Rika 2-1 HT 1-1 Honduras Honduras DKE
08.10.2021 Honduras Honduras 0-0 HT 0-0 Kosta Rika Kosta Rika DKE
07.06.2021 Honduras Honduras 2-2 HT 0-1 Kosta Rika Kosta Rika CON
08.10.2017 Kosta Rika Kosta Rika 1-1 HT 0-0 Honduras Honduras DKE
08.07.2017 Honduras Honduras 0-1 HT 0-1 Kosta Rika Kosta Rika GK
29.03.2017 Honduras Honduras 1-1 HT 1-0 Kosta Rika Kosta Rika DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kosta Rika
3-1
AWAY Honduras
1.36 xG 0.46
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
256 Passes 339
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kosta Rika vs Honduras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kosta Rika saw off Honduras 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kosta Rika as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kosta Rika had 43% of the ball to Honduras's 57%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.36 to 0.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kosta Rika had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kosta Rika and 0.83 for Honduras.

What was the final score of Kosta Rika vs Honduras?

Kosta Rika 3-1 Honduras in the CONCACAF Champions League on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kosta Rika vs Honduras?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kosta Rika win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kosta Rika 42%, draw 31%, Honduras 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kosta Rika) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kosta Rika) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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