Montpellier (K) 1-3 PSG (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
5.91
Draw
38%
4.19
Away
46%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.95
No
41%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
7%
X/X
27%
2/1
3%
2/2
35%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
14%
+2.4pp
38%
Draw
20%
+17.6pp
46%
Away Win
66%
-20.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
47%
+11.6pp
41%
BTTS No
53%
-11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montpellier (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY PSG (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
261 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montpellier (K)
1-3
AWAY PSG (K)
0.83 xG 1.06
31% Ball Possession 69%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
168 Passes 521
66% Pass Accuracy 87%
22 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Montpellier (K) vs PSG (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSG (K) saw off Montpellier (K) 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PSG (K) as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Montpellier (K) had 31% of the ball to PSG (K)'s 69%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.83 to 1.06.

What was the final score of Montpellier (K) vs PSG (K)?

Montpellier (K) 1-3 PSG (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montpellier (K) vs PSG (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSG (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Montpellier (K) 16%, draw 38%, PSG (K) 46%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSG (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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