24/03/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Bofoakwe Tano vs Karela Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
58%
30%
Draw
23%
25%
Away Win
19%
54%
Under 2.5
41%
46%
Over 2.5
59%
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
51%
BTTS No
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bofoakwe Tano v Karela — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Bofoakwe Tano
EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY
Karela
EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-1% /
-1%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-2%
/
+9%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
14
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
359 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
262 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.5
POST-MATCH
Bofoakwe Tano vs Karela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bofoakwe Tano squeezed past Karela 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bofoakwe Tano as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
What was the final score of Bofoakwe Tano vs Karela?
Bofoakwe Tano 2-1 Karela in the Gana - Premier League on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bofoakwe Tano vs Karela?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bofoakwe Tano win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bofoakwe Tano 45%, draw 30%, Karela 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bofoakwe Tano) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Bofoakwe Tano)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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GANA
More Gana - Premier League
24 Mar 2024