24/03/2024
·
08:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
4-0
Cheongju vs Geoje Citizen Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
70%
20%
Draw
18%
16%
Away Win
12%
43%
Under 2.5
40%
57%
Over 2.5
60%
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
59%
BTTS No
50%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cheongju v Geoje Citizen — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Cheongju
EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY
Geoje Citizen
EU Bookmakers 16%
+3% /
+3%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+16% /
+16%
3.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/2.51
+41%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+17%
/
-24%
58%
Ball Possession
42%
16
Total Shots
8
7
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
455 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
257 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Cheongju vs Geoje Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Cheongju beat Geoje Citizen 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cheongju as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.
What was the final score of Cheongju vs Geoje Citizen?
Cheongju 2-0 Geoje Citizen in the South Kore - K League Classic on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cheongju vs Geoje Citizen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cheongju win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Cheongju 64%, draw 20%, Geoje Citizen 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cheongju), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Cheongju)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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