24/03/2024
·
21:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
Juventud Copalera vs Marquense Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
Over
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
43%
4-5
27%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
50%
Home Win
34%
24%
Draw
26%
26%
Away Win
41%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Juventud Copalera v Marquense — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Juventud Copalera
The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Marquense
The Market 45%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
10
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
4
373 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
313 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Juventud Copalera vs Marquense Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Juventud Copalera
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Marquense
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
5.00
41%
Ball Possession
59%
9
Total Shots
20
3
Shots on Target
9
6
Corners
4
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Juventud Copalera vs Marquense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Juventud Copalera edged past Marquense 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Juventud Copalera as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Juventud Copalera vs Marquense?
Juventud Copalera 1-0 Marquense in the Guatemela - Premier League Apertura on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Juventud Copalera vs Marquense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Juventud Copalera win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Juventud Copalera 50%, draw 24%, Marquense 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventud Copalera) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Juventud Copalera)
✗ BTTS Yes
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