Xinabajul 3-1 Guastatoya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.0pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xinabajul EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.21/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.24
-7% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xinabajul
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Guastatoya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
5 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 1
19.11.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 0-0 HT 0-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
14.05.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 1-0 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
10.05.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 2-0 HT 0-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
19.03.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 4-1 HT 1-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
30.01.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 1-0 HT 1-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
10.10.2022 Xinabajul Xinabajul 3-0 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
POST-MATCH Xinabajul vs Guastatoya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xinabajul got the better of Guastatoya 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Xinabajul as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xinabajul had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Xinabajul and 1.00 for Guastatoya.

What was the final score of Xinabajul vs Guastatoya?

Xinabajul 3-1 Guastatoya in the Guatemala - National League on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xinabajul vs Guastatoya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xinabajul win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Xinabajul 43%, draw 29%, Guastatoya 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xinabajul) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Xinabajul) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GUAT More Guatemala - National League
24 Mar 2024
00:00 Coban Imperial vs Zacapa Tellioz Analysis →