Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-4 Utrecht (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
2.94
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
21%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
30%
-6.5pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.0pp
45%
Away Win
43%
+1.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.1pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.00/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-27% / -60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
279 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
1-4
AWAY Utrecht (K)
0.93 xG 3.01
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
192 Passes 470
67% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 16
10 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs Utrecht (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utrecht (K) swept aside Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Utrecht (K) as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Excelsior Barendrecht (K) had 33% of the ball to Utrecht (K)'s 67%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.93 to 3.01.

What was the final score of Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs Utrecht (K)?

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-4 Utrecht (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs Utrecht (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Utrecht (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 24%, draw 31%, Utrecht (K) 45%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utrecht (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Utrecht (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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