24/03/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
ETSV Hamburg vs Rugenbergen Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
13%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
37%
18%
Draw
25%
38%
Away Win
38%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ETSV Hamburg v Rugenbergen — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
ETSV Hamburg
EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Rugenbergen
EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+48% /
+48%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+98%
/
-7%
49%
Ball Possession
51%
10
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Target
5
3
Corners
6
284 · 71%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
289 · 67%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
ETSV Hamburg vs Rugenbergen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
ETSV Hamburg swept aside Rugenbergen 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ETSV Hamburg as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
What was the final score of ETSV Hamburg vs Rugenbergen?
ETSV Hamburg 3-0 Rugenbergen in the Germany - Oberliga on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ETSV Hamburg vs Rugenbergen?
Before kick-off our model rated a ETSV Hamburg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split ETSV Hamburg 45%, draw 18%, Rugenbergen 38%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ETSV Hamburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (ETSV Hamburg)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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OBER
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24 Mar 2024