Swidniczanka Swidnik 1-1 Garbarnia Krakow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 3rd Division, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.16
Draw
14%
7.13
Away
21%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under
34%
Over Pick
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
41%
4-5
27%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
26%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
65%
Home Win
82%
-17.6pp
15%
Draw
12%
+3.0pp
21%
Away Win
6%
+14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swidniczanka Swidnik The Market 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Garbarnia Krakow The Market 8%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
550 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Swidniczanka Swidnik vs Garbarnia Krakow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swidniczanka Swidnik and Garbarnia Krakow couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Swidniczanka Swidnik at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (66%) missed.

What was the final score of Swidniczanka Swidnik vs Garbarnia Krakow?

Swidniczanka Swidnik 1-1 Garbarnia Krakow in the Poland - 3rd Division on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swidniczanka Swidnik vs Garbarnia Krakow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swidniczanka Swidnik win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Swidniczanka Swidnik 65%, draw 15%, Garbarnia Krakow 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Swidniczanka Swidnik), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Swidniczanka Swidnik) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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