Karacabey Belediye Spor 2-2 Van Spor FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.13
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
51%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
21%
+1.3pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.7pp
51%
Away Win
57%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Van Spor FK EU Bookmakers 62%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.66/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.02
-26% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -28%
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
235 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 431 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Van Spor FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 3
12.11.2023 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK 1-1 HT 1-0 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor S2-B
09.10.2022 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 2-0 HT 1-0 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK S2-K
21.10.2020 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 0-1 HT 0-0 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK T2L-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor
2-2
AWAY Van Spor FK
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Van Spor FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karacabey Belediye Spor and Van Spor FK shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Van Spor FK at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Karacabey Belediye Spor had 44% of the ball to Van Spor FK's 56%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Karacabey Belediye Spor and 0.67 for Van Spor FK.

What was the final score of Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Van Spor FK?

Karacabey Belediye Spor 2-2 Van Spor FK in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Van Spor FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Van Spor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Karacabey Belediye Spor 22%, draw 27%, Van Spor FK 51%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Van Spor FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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