İskenderunspor A.Ş. 0-3 GMG Kastamonuspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.4pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.4pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İskenderunspor A.Ş. EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor EU Bookmakers 40%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
1.60/2.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/0.24
+29% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
234 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İskenderunspor A.Ş.
2W-0D-0L
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor 3-4 HT 1-1 İskenderunspor A.Ş. İskenderunspor A.Ş. S2-K
09.04.2023 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor 0-2 HT 0-1 İskenderunspor A.Ş. İskenderunspor A.Ş. T2L-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İskenderunspor A.Ş.
0-3
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH İskenderunspor A.Ş. vs GMG Kastamonuspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GMG Kastamonuspor swept aside İskenderunspor A.Ş. 3-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 37% — and on the day GMG Kastamonuspor made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İskenderunspor A.Ş. had 47% of the ball to GMG Kastamonuspor's 53%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, İskenderunspor A.Ş. had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for İskenderunspor A.Ş. and 1.50 for GMG Kastamonuspor.

What was the final score of İskenderunspor A.Ş. vs GMG Kastamonuspor?

İskenderunspor A.Ş. 0-3 GMG Kastamonuspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İskenderunspor A.Ş. vs GMG Kastamonuspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a İskenderunspor A.Ş. win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split İskenderunspor A.Ş. 40%, draw 23%, GMG Kastamonuspor 37%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (İskenderunspor A.Ş.) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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