Turgutluspor 3-1 Sapanca Gençlikspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
18%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
52%
+3.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
18%
Away Win
23%
-4.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Turgutluspor EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Sapanca Gençlikspor EU Bookmakers 26%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
1.23/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/2.14
-18% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -38%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Turgutluspor
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sapanca Gençlikspor
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
12.11.2023 Sapanca Gençlikspor Sapanca Gençlikspor 4-5 HT 1-3 Turgutluspor Turgutluspor S3-2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Turgutluspor
3-1
AWAY Sapanca Gençlikspor
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Turgutluspor vs Sapanca Gençlikspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Turgutluspor beat Sapanca Gençlikspor 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Turgutluspor as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Turgutluspor had 57% of the ball to Sapanca Gençlikspor's 43%, shots finished 7-12.

What was the final score of Turgutluspor vs Sapanca Gençlikspor?

Turgutluspor 3-1 Sapanca Gençlikspor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Turgutluspor vs Sapanca Gençlikspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Turgutluspor win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Turgutluspor 55%, draw 27%, Sapanca Gençlikspor 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Turgutluspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Turgutluspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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