Petrzalka 4-2 Puchov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia - 2nd Division, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-6.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.4pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Petrzalka EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Puchov EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +14%
2.26/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.41
+29% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Petrzalka
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Puchov
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Puchov Puchov 5-0 HT 3-0 Petrzalka Petrzalka SLVK2
30.10.2022 Petrzalka Petrzalka 1-0 HT 1-0 Puchov Puchov SLVK2
08.05.2022 Petrzalka Petrzalka 3-1 HT 1-1 Puchov Puchov SLVK2
16.10.2021 Puchov Puchov 1-1 HT 0-0 Petrzalka Petrzalka SLVK2
20.03.2021 Puchov Puchov 3-1 HT 0-0 Petrzalka Petrzalka SLVK2
06.09.2020 Petrzalka Petrzalka 3-2 HT 1-0 Puchov Puchov SLVK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Petrzalka
4-2
AWAY Puchov
49% Ball Possession 51%
21 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Petrzalka vs Puchov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Petrzalka got the better of Puchov 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Petrzalka as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Petrzalka had 49% of the ball to Puchov's 51%, shots finished 21-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Petrzalka had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Petrzalka and 2.00 for Puchov.

What was the final score of Petrzalka vs Puchov?

Petrzalka 4-2 Puchov in the Slovakia - 2nd Division on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Petrzalka vs Puchov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Petrzalka win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Petrzalka 47%, draw 28%, Puchov 24%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Petrzalka), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Petrzalka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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