San Martin Tucuman 1-0 Gimnasia Y Tiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 24 Mar 2025

📅24/03/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.0
Draw
38%
2.77
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
Over 2.5
27%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.81
No
64%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-8.1pp
38%
Draw
33%
+5.6pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+2.5pp
36%
BTTS Yes
32%
+4.5pp
64%
BTTS No
68%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Martin Tucuman EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia Y Tiro EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.33/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/0.69
+10% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +71%
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin Tucuman squeezed past Gimnasia Y Tiro 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 38% / 23%) promised a tight game; San Martin Tucuman found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?

San Martin Tucuman 1-0 Gimnasia Y Tiro in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 24/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Martin Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split San Martin Tucuman 38%, draw 38%, Gimnasia Y Tiro 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/38/23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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