Montevideo Wanderers 1-2 Miramar Misiones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 24 Mar 2025

📅24/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.0pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Miramar Misiones EU Bookmakers 31%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.39/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.14
+7% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
294 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Miramar Misiones
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.11.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 2-0 HT 0-0 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones URU
25.05.2024 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 2-0 HT 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
1-2
AWAY Miramar Misiones
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Montevideo Wanderers vs Miramar Misiones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Miramar Misiones nicked a narrow win over Montevideo Wanderers 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Montevideo Wanderers at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Montevideo Wanderers had 55% of the ball to Miramar Misiones's 45%, shots finished 13-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Montevideo Wanderers and 1.00 for Miramar Misiones.

What was the final score of Montevideo Wanderers vs Miramar Misiones?

Montevideo Wanderers 1-2 Miramar Misiones in the Uruguay - Premier League on 24/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montevideo Wanderers vs Miramar Misiones?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montevideo Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Montevideo Wanderers 42%, draw 28%, Miramar Misiones 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Montevideo Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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