Afyonspor 1-1 Bergama Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 24 Mar 2026

📅24/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.6pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.3pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afyonspor EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bergama Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 37%
+50% / +50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/2.15
+59% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -43%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afyonspor
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Bergama Belediyespor
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
30.11.2025 Bergama Belediyespor Bergama Belediyespor 2-3 HT 2-2 Afyonspor Afyonspor S3-2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Afyonspor
1-1
AWAY Bergama Belediyespor
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Afyonspor vs Bergama Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afyonspor and Bergama Belediyespor shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Afyonspor at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Afyonspor had 40% of the ball to Bergama Belediyespor's 60%, shots finished 6-12.

What was the final score of Afyonspor vs Bergama Belediyespor?

Afyonspor 1-1 Bergama Belediyespor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 24/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afyonspor vs Bergama Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Afyonspor win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Afyonspor 41%, draw 29%, Bergama Belediyespor 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Afyonspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Afyonspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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