Coventry 2-3 Hull City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 24 Apr 2024

Coventry
2-3 HT 1-2
Hull City
📅24/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Coventry vs Hull City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.94
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.14
6+ Goals
10%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.94 — our 28% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.69
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
12%
5.8
X/2
15%
5.61
X/X
12%
4.96
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
17%
3.52
2/X
8%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.4pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Coventry v Hull City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coventry EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hull City EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -5%
1.28/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.01
+5% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 80%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
16.1 Crosses 15.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Coventry vs Hull City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coventry
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hull City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.61 xG 1.37
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
394 Passes 320
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.09.2023 Hull City Hull City 1-1 HT 0-1 Coventry Coventry İNCL
11.03.2023 Coventry Coventry 1-1 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
27.08.2022 Hull City Hull City 3-2 HT 2-1 Coventry Coventry İNCL
16.03.2022 Coventry Coventry 0-2 HT 0-2 Hull City Hull City İNCL
30.10.2021 Hull City Hull City 0-1 HT 0-1 Coventry Coventry İNCL
31.03.2012 Hull City Hull City 0-2 HT 0-1 Coventry Coventry İNCL

Coventry 2-3 Hull City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coventry
2-3
AWAY Hull City
0.52 xG 2.01
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
483 Passes 382
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 19
30 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Coventry vs Hull City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hull City edged past Coventry 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Hull City made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Coventry had 55% of the ball to Hull City's 45%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.52 to 2.01 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Hull City's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Coventry and 1.17 for Hull City.

What was the final score of Coventry vs Hull City?

Coventry 2-3 Hull City in the England - Championship on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coventry vs Hull City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hull City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Coventry 36%, draw 25%, Hull City 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hull City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hull City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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