Badalona (K) 2-4 Barcelona (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 24 Apr 2024

📅24/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
12.23
Draw
33%
8.78
Away
33%
1.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.0
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
8%
+25.1pp
33%
Draw
11%
+21.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Badalona (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona (K) EU Bookmakers 97%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.71/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.26/0.26
+150% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +109% / +100%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 55.0
20.0 Crosses 27.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Badalona (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Barcelona (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 9.00
0.98 xG 5.33
25% Ball Possession 75%
10 Total Shots 30
5 Shots on Target 16
3 Corners 10
165 Passes 622
67% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 54
7 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 0
06.01.2024 Barcelona (K) Barcelona (K) 9-1 HT 4-0 Badalona (K) Badalona (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Badalona (K)
2-4
AWAY Barcelona (K)
1.04 xG 2.13
16% Ball Possession 84%
6 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
55 Passes 666
39% Pass Accuracy 88%
11 Box Touches 27
9 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Badalona (K) vs Barcelona (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona (K) got the better of Badalona (K) 4-2 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Barcelona (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Badalona (K) had 16% of the ball to Barcelona (K)'s 84%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 1.04 to 2.13.

What was the final score of Badalona (K) vs Barcelona (K)?

Badalona (K) 2-4 Barcelona (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Badalona (K) vs Barcelona (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Badalona (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Badalona (K) 33%, draw 33%, Barcelona (K) 33%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →