Saarbrücken 1-1 Rot-Weiss Essen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 24 Apr 2024

📅24/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.49
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.91
6+ Goals
12%
8.44
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.06
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.85
X/1
16%
4.05
X/2
8%
10.1
X/X
9%
5.99
2/1
7%
20.85
2/2
9%
7.18
2/X
7%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-2.4pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.9pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saarbrücken EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 24%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.79/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.42
-1% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
347 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 71%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.0 Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saarbrücken
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.10.2023 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 2-1 HT 2-1 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
18.03.2023 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 3-0 HT 2-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
19.09.2022 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-0 HT 1-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
08.04.2005 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 0-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL2
31.10.2004 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 2-0 HT 1-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saarbrücken
1-1
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Saarbrücken vs Rot-Weiss Essen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saarbrücken and Rot-Weiss Essen shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Saarbrücken at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Saarbrücken had 53% of the ball to Rot-Weiss Essen's 47%, shots finished 17-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Essen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Saarbrücken and 1.00 for Rot-Weiss Essen.

What was the final score of Saarbrücken vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Saarbrücken 1-1 Rot-Weiss Essen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saarbrücken vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saarbrücken win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Saarbrücken 54%, draw 23%, Rot-Weiss Essen 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Saarbrücken), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Saarbrücken) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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