Persebaya Surabaya 0-2 Bali United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 24 Apr 2024

📅24/04/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-5.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.9pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persebaya Surabaya EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Bali United EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +14%
0.90/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/0.97
-35% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
335 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persebaya Surabaya
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Bali United
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
345 Passes 341
02.09.2022 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 0-1 HT 0-1 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
25.03.2022 Bali United Bali United 0-3 HT 0-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
05.01.2022 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 3-1 HT 1-1 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
24.09.2019 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 1-1 HT 1-0 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
POST-MATCH Persebaya Surabaya vs Bali United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bali United saw off Persebaya Surabaya 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Bali United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Persebaya Surabaya had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Persebaya Surabaya and 0.75 for Bali United.

What was the final score of Persebaya Surabaya vs Bali United?

Persebaya Surabaya 0-2 Bali United in the Indonesia League 1 on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persebaya Surabaya vs Bali United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persebaya Surabaya win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Persebaya Surabaya 37%, draw 27%, Bali United 35%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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