SJK Seinajoki 3-3 HJK Helsinki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 24 Apr 2024

📅24/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
50%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.8
2-3 Goals
33%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
3.22
6+ Goals
12%
11.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.8 — our 29% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.41
1/2
7%
23.6
1/X
8%
13.3
X/1
7%
7.68
X/2
17%
4.59
X/X
11%
4.93
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.62
2/X
6%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-1.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
50%
Away Win
47%
+2.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.8pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 51%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +16%
1.43/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.75
+46% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +25%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 82%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
21.2 Crosses 16.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SJK Seinajoki
0W-1D-5L
AWAY HJK Helsinki
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.45 xG 1.39
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
399 Passes 339
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 2-3 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
29.07.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-2 HT 1-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
03.06.2023 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 0-0 HT 0-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
18.09.2022 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 2-1 HT 1-1 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
28.08.2022 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 1-0 HT 1-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
08.04.2022 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 0-1 HT 0-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SJK Seinajoki
3-3
AWAY HJK Helsinki
1.42 xG 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 5
427 Passes 309
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
28 Box Touches 18
27 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SJK Seinajoki vs HJK Helsinki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SJK Seinajoki and HJK Helsinki couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was HJK Helsinki at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, SJK Seinajoki had 59% of the ball to HJK Helsinki's 41%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.42 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, HJK Helsinki led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for SJK Seinajoki and 1.50 for HJK Helsinki.

What was the final score of SJK Seinajoki vs HJK Helsinki?

SJK Seinajoki 3-3 HJK Helsinki in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SJK Seinajoki vs HJK Helsinki?

Before kick-off our model rated an HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split SJK Seinajoki 26%, draw 25%, HJK Helsinki 50%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (HJK Helsinki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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