Montpellier (K) 4-0 Saint-Étienne (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 24 Apr 2024

📅24/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-5.6pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.4pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.7pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montpellier (K) EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Saint-Étienne (K) EU Bookmakers 24%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/4.00
+46% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +78% / -69%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
375 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
Crosses 12.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montpellier (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Saint-Étienne (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
30.09.2023 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montpellier (K)
4-0
AWAY Saint-Étienne (K)
3.20 xG 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
247 Passes 253
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
31 Box Touches 9
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Montpellier (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montpellier (K) ran out comfortable winners over Saint-Étienne (K) 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Montpellier (K) as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Montpellier (K) had 48% of the ball to Saint-Étienne (K)'s 52%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 3.20 to 0.50.

What was the final score of Montpellier (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K)?

Montpellier (K) 4-0 Saint-Étienne (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montpellier (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montpellier (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Montpellier (K) 51%, draw 25%, Saint-Étienne (K) 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montpellier (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Montpellier (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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