Holywell 4-0 Llanidloes Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 24 Apr 2024

📅24/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.11
Draw
15%
8.78
Away
11%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
25%
Over 2.5
75%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
No
39%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
11%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
38%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
85%
-10.9pp
15%
Draw
8%
+6.4pp
11%
Away Win
6%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holywell EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Llanidloes Town EU Bookmakers 9%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
2.73/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/3.63
-9% / +143% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -24%
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
415 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holywell
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Llanidloes Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
28.01.2023 Llanidloes Town Llanidloes Town 0-3 HT 0-1 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
15.10.2022 Holywell Holywell 2-1 HT 0-1 Llanidloes Town Llanidloes Town GALFAW
04.12.2021 Llanidloes Town Llanidloes Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
POST-MATCH Holywell vs Llanidloes Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holywell swept aside Llanidloes Town 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Holywell as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (75%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Holywell had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Holywell and 0.67 for Llanidloes Town.

What was the final score of Holywell vs Llanidloes Town?

Holywell 4-0 Llanidloes Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holywell vs Llanidloes Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Holywell 74%, draw 15%, Llanidloes Town 11%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holywell), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Holywell) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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