Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 1-2 Ferencvaros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - Cup, 24 Apr 2024

📅24/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
6.35
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
55%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.79
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.22
6+ Goals
10%
11.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 26% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
39%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
13%
+9.4pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.5pp
55%
Away Win
67%
-11.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.5pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nyiregyhaza Spartacus EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 71%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -10%
1.00/4.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.45/0.71
+31% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +9%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
276 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Ferencvaros
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
4 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
14.03.2015 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 0-0 HT 0-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
24.08.2014 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 3-1 HT 2-0 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC
POST-MATCH Nyiregyhaza Spartacus vs Ferencvaros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferencvaros nicked a narrow win over Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ferencvaros as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ferencvaros led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nyiregyhaza Spartacus and 1.50 for Ferencvaros.

What was the final score of Nyiregyhaza Spartacus vs Ferencvaros?

Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 1-2 Ferencvaros in the Hungary - Cup on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nyiregyhaza Spartacus vs Ferencvaros?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 22%, draw 22%, Ferencvaros 55%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ferencvaros) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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