Pyramids 3-2 National Bank of Egypt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 24 Apr 2024

📅24/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.42
Draw
28%
4.34
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.59
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.34
6+ Goals
7%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.59 — our 31% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
67%
-15.8pp
28%
Draw
20%
+7.3pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+8.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.9pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pyramids EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY National Bank of Egypt EU Bookmakers 15%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.43/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/1.48
+10% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +54%
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
463 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 73%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.8
19.7 Crosses 15.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pyramids
5W-0D-1L
AWAY National Bank of Egypt
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.67 xG 0.45
57% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
428 Passes 304
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.09.2023 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 0-1 HT 0-0 Pyramids Pyramids MSR
03.07.2023 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 0-3 HT 0-2 Pyramids Pyramids MSRK
13.03.2023 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 2-1 HT 1-0 Pyramids Pyramids MSR
27.11.2022 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 0-1 HT 0-1 Pyramids Pyramids MSRK
23.11.2022 Pyramids Pyramids 2-0 HT 0-0 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
27.07.2022 Pyramids Pyramids 1-0 HT 0-0 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pyramids
3-2
AWAY National Bank of Egypt
1.19 xG 1.36
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
287 Passes 313
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 36
11 Crosses 37
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pyramids vs National Bank of Egypt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pyramids squeezed past National Bank of Egypt 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pyramids as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pyramids had 47% of the ball to National Bank of Egypt's 53%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 1.19 to 1.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pyramids had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pyramids and 0.33 for National Bank of Egypt.

What was the final score of Pyramids vs National Bank of Egypt?

Pyramids 3-2 National Bank of Egypt in the Egypt - Premier League on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pyramids vs National Bank of Egypt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pyramids win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Pyramids 51%, draw 28%, National Bank of Egypt 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pyramids) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pyramids) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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