NEC 1-0 BUL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 24 Apr 2024

NEC
1-0 HT 0-0
BUL
📅24/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Uganda - Premier League – 2023/2024

NEC vs BUL Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
38%
3.18
Away
26%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.6
Over 2.5
31%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
1.96
No
66%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
21%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ Draw ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.8pp
38%
Draw
28%
+10.2pp
26%
Away Win
36%
-9.4pp
69%
Under 2.5
59%
+9.9pp
31%
Over 2.5
41%
-9.9pp
34%
BTTS Yes
47%
-12.4pp
66%
BTTS No
53%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

NEC v BUL — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NEC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY BUL EU Bookmakers 39%
+49% / +49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.49/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.68
+59% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +149% / -42%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
214 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

NEC 1-0 BUL — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NEC
1-0
AWAY BUL
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH NEC vs BUL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NEC edged past BUL 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 38% / 26% — and on the day NEC made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (66%) came in.

On the day, NEC had 47% of the ball to BUL's 53%, shots finished 6-3.

What was the final score of NEC vs BUL?

NEC 1-0 BUL in the Uganda - Premier League on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NEC vs BUL?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split NEC 36%, draw 38%, BUL 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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