Rampla Juniors 2-1 Defensor Sporting — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 24 Apr 2024

📅24/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.48
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
49%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
19%
+2.9pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.0pp
48%
Away Win
55%
-6.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.5pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rampla Juniors EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensor Sporting EU Bookmakers 59%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.68/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.55
-22% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +40%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
238 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rampla Juniors
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Defensor Sporting
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.11.2021 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors 0-5 HT 0-5 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU2
22.09.2019 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 1-0 HT 1-0 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors URU
07.06.2015 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
07.12.2014 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 2-0 HT 1-0 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rampla Juniors
2-1
AWAY Defensor Sporting
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rampla Juniors vs Defensor Sporting
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rampla Juniors squeezed past Defensor Sporting 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Defensor Sporting at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rampla Juniors had 40% of the ball to Defensor Sporting's 60%, shots finished 4-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Rampla Juniors and 2.00 for Defensor Sporting.

What was the final score of Rampla Juniors vs Defensor Sporting?

Rampla Juniors 2-1 Defensor Sporting in the Uruguay - Premier League on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rampla Juniors vs Defensor Sporting?

Before kick-off our model rated an Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Rampla Juniors 22%, draw 29%, Defensor Sporting 48%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Defensor Sporting) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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