Tigres 1-1 Cruz Azul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuzey / Orta Amerika - CONCACAF Şampiyonlar Ligi, 24 Apr 2025

Tigres
1-1 HT 0-0
Cruz Azul
📅24/04/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Kuzey / Orta Amerika - CONCACAF Şampiyonlar Ligi – 2026

Tigres vs Cruz Azul Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.64
Over
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
33%
2.56
2-3
45%
1.73
4-5
16%
4.22
6+
6%
21.45
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.56 — our 33% vs market 31.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-1.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.4pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tigres v Cruz Azul — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tigres EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruz Azul EU Bookmakers 32%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
1.22/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.97
+94% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -33%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
10.5 Crosses 17.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Tigres vs Cruz Azul Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tigres
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cruz Azul
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.48 xG 2.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
364 Passes 223
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
12 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
19.09.2019 Tigres Tigres 1-2 HT 0-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul Kuzey / Orta Amerika - Lig Kupası

Tigres 1-1 Cruz Azul — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tigres
1-1
AWAY Cruz Azul
0.36 xG 0.51
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
279 Passes 309
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tigres vs Cruz Azul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tigres and Cruz Azul shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Tigres at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Tigres had 48% of the ball to Cruz Azul's 52%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 0.36 to 0.51.

What was the final score of Tigres vs Cruz Azul?

Tigres 1-1 Cruz Azul in the Kuzey / Orta Amerika - CONCACAF Şampiyonlar Ligi on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tigres vs Cruz Azul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tigres 44%, draw 29%, Cruz Azul 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tigres), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tigres) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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