CDS Tampico Madero 1-0 Celaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 24 Apr 2025

📅24/04/2025 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
1.67
Over
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
38%
4-5
25%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-5.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.8pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.5pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CDS Tampico Madero EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Celaya EU Bookmakers 34%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
0.88/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.18
-37% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
274 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CDS Tampico Madero
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Celaya
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
16.03.2025 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero 0-0 HT 0-0 Celaya Celaya MEK2
29.09.2024 Celaya Celaya 0-0 HT 0-0 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero MEK2
POST-MATCH CDS Tampico Madero vs Celaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CDS Tampico Madero edged past Celaya 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day CDS Tampico Madero made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for CDS Tampico Madero and 0.00 for Celaya.

What was the final score of CDS Tampico Madero vs Celaya?

CDS Tampico Madero 1-0 Celaya in the Mexico - Primera A on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CDS Tampico Madero vs Celaya?

Before kick-off our model rated a CDS Tampico Madero win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split CDS Tampico Madero 35%, draw 30%, Celaya 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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