Elverum 2-7 Kongsvinger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - NM Cup, 24 Apr 2025

📅24/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
6.35
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
53%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under
37%
2.29
Over
63%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
64%
1.66
No
36%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
32%
4-5
29%
6+
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
24%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
13%
+11.1pp
23%
Draw
17%
+6.3pp
53%
Away Win
70%
-17.4pp
37%
Under 2.5
40%
-2.6pp
63%
Over 2.5
60%
+2.6pp
64%
BTTS Yes
56%
+7.3pp
36%
BTTS No
44%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elverum EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Kongsvinger EU Bookmakers 75%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
1.41/4.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.41/2.42
+47% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -62%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
267 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elverum
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Kongsvinger
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 1
15.10.2017 Elverum Elverum 1-2 HT 0-1 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
25.06.2017 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 1-1 HT 0-0 Elverum Elverum NOR1
03.11.2013 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 2-1 HT 0-0 Elverum Elverum NOR1
28.04.2013 Elverum Elverum 2-2 HT 0-2 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elverum
2-7
AWAY Kongsvinger
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 12
POST-MATCH Elverum vs Kongsvinger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kongsvinger ran out comfortable winners over Elverum 7-2 away from home. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kongsvinger as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 7-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Elverum had 42% of the ball to Kongsvinger's 58%, shots finished 6-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kongsvinger led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Elverum and 1.75 for Kongsvinger.

What was the final score of Elverum vs Kongsvinger?

Elverum 2-7 Kongsvinger in the Norway - NM Cup on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elverum vs Kongsvinger?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kongsvinger win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Elverum 24%, draw 23%, Kongsvinger 53%. The final score 2-7 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kongsvinger), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kongsvinger) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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