24/04/2025
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-2
2nd Score
0-1
Flint vs Fredrikstad Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
34%
4-5
27%
6+
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
8%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
53%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Fredrikstad win — 66% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Away Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
5%
17%
Draw
9%
66%
Away Win
86%
37%
Under 2.5
22%
63%
Over 2.5
78%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Flint v Fredrikstad — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Flint
EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY
Fredrikstad
EU Bookmakers 91%
+38% /
+38%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-9% /
-9%
1.37/3.52
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.92/1.11
+48%
/
-9%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-10%
/
-19%
36%
Ball Possession
64%
8
Total Shots
18
3
Shots on Target
8
2
Corners
8
237 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
529 · 87%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.0
Yellow Cards
0.7
POST-MATCH
Flint vs Fredrikstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Fredrikstad swept aside Flint 5-0 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Fredrikstad as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Flint vs Fredrikstad?
Flint 0-5 Fredrikstad in the Norway - NM Cup on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Flint vs Fredrikstad?
Before kick-off our model rated an Fredrikstad win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Flint 17%, draw 17%, Fredrikstad 66%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fredrikstad), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Fredrikstad)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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24 Apr 2025