24/04/2025
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-2
2nd Score
0-3
Fram Larvik vs Stabaek Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
39%
4-5
21%
6+
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
31%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Stabaek win — 64% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Away Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
10%
22%
Draw
16%
64%
Away Win
75%
42%
Under 2.5
31%
58%
Over 2.5
69%
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
54%
BTTS No
49%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fram Larvik v Stabaek — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Fram Larvik
EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY
Stabaek
EU Bookmakers 80%
+13% /
+13%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+7% /
+7%
0.50/1.98
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
3.60/0.38
-48%
/
+57%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+16%
/
+150%
43%
Ball Possession
57%
8
Total Shots
17
3
Shots on Target
7
3
Corners
8
275 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
432 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.0
Yellow Cards
0.4
POST-MATCH
Fram Larvik vs Stabaek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Stabaek swept aside Fram Larvik 4-0 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Stabaek as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Fram Larvik vs Stabaek?
Fram Larvik 0-4 Stabaek in the Norway - NM Cup on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fram Larvik vs Stabaek?
Before kick-off our model rated an Stabaek win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Fram Larvik 14%, draw 22%, Stabaek 64%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stabaek), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Stabaek)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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NOK
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24 Apr 2025