Gamle Oslo 1-6 Sarpsborg 08 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - NM Cup, 24 Apr 2025

📅24/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
9.57
Draw
20%
5.71
Away Pick
61%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.89
Over
60%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.95
No
43%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
42%
4-5
26%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
21%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Sarpsborg 08 win — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
7%
+12.0pp
20%
Draw
14%
+5.7pp
61%
Away Win
79%
-17.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
31%
+8.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
69%
-8.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
47%
+10.0pp
43%
BTTS No
53%
-10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gamle Oslo EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 EU Bookmakers 84%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.58/0.90
-100% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +2%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
244 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 457 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gamle Oslo
1-6
AWAY Sarpsborg 08
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gamle Oslo vs Sarpsborg 08
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarpsborg 08 cruised past Gamle Oslo 6-1 away from home. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sarpsborg 08 as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gamle Oslo had 42% of the ball to Sarpsborg 08's 58%, shots finished 14-16.

What was the final score of Gamle Oslo vs Sarpsborg 08?

Gamle Oslo 1-6 Sarpsborg 08 in the Norway - NM Cup on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gamle Oslo vs Sarpsborg 08?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sarpsborg 08 win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Gamle Oslo 19%, draw 20%, Sarpsborg 08 61%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sarpsborg 08), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sarpsborg 08) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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