24/04/2025
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
1-2
Jerv vs Egersunds Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 4-5 at 2.97
— our 29% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 62% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Over 2.5
BTTS Yes
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
27%
26%
Draw
24%
49%
Away Win
49%
38%
Under 2.5
44%
62%
Over 2.5
56%
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
42%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Jerv v Egersunds — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Jerv
EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY
Egersunds
EU Bookmakers 53%
-33% /
-33%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-58% /
-58%
1.75/2.75
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/3.00
+9%
/
-37%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-48%
/
-47%
45%
Ball Possession
55%
13
Total Shots
14
5
Shots on Target
6
3
Corners
5
241 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
244 · 84%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.0
Jerv vs Egersunds Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Jerv
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Egersunds
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
02.05.2018
Egersunds
2-1
HT 1-1
Jerv
NOK
2-1
HT 1-1
Jerv
NOK
POST-MATCH
Jerv vs Egersunds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Egersunds edged past Jerv 1-0 away from home.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Egersunds as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Jerv vs Egersunds?
Jerv 0-1 Egersunds in the Norway - NM Cup on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Jerv vs Egersunds?
Before kick-off our model rated an Egersunds win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Jerv 25%, draw 26%, Egersunds 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Egersunds) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Egersunds)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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NOK
More Norway - NM Cup
24 Apr 2025