24/04/2025
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-2
2nd Score
1-2
Lorenskog vs HamKam Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
36%
Over
64%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
15%
2-3
41%
4-5
25%
6+
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
3%
X/2
22%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
47%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
HamKam win — 74% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Away Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
10%
Home Win
6%
16%
Draw
15%
73%
Away Win
80%
57%
BTTS Yes
46%
43%
BTTS No
54%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lorenskog v HamKam — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Lorenskog
EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY
HamKam
EU Bookmakers 84%
-10% /
-10%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+8% /
+8%
1.00/2.68
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
3.86/0.59
+7%
/
+19%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+20%
/
+56%
37%
Ball Possession
63%
7
Total Shots
20
3
Shots on Target
8
3
Corners
9
254 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
467 · 86%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.3
POST-MATCH
Lorenskog vs HamKam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
HamKam squeezed past Lorenskog 1-0 away from home.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had HamKam as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Lorenskog vs HamKam?
Lorenskog 0-1 HamKam in the Norway - NM Cup on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lorenskog vs HamKam?
Before kick-off our model rated an HamKam win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Lorenskog 10%, draw 16%, HamKam 73%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HamKam) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (HamKam)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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NOK
More Norway - NM Cup
24 Apr 2025