Ullensaker / Kisa vs Aalesund Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ullensaker / Kisa v Aalesund — Team-Based Signals
Ullensaker / Kisa vs Aalesund Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-2
HT 1-1
Ullensaker / Kisa
NOR1
0-1
HT 0-0
Aalesund
NOR1
2-2
HT 0-1
Aalesund
NOR1
1-0
HT 1-0
Ullensaker / Kisa
NOR1
3-0
HT 1-0
Aalesund
NOR1
3-2
HT 1-2
Ullensaker / Kisa
NOR1
Ullensaker / Kisa 2-3 Aalesund — Actual Match Statistics
Aalesund squeezed past Ullensaker / Kisa 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aalesund as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Ullensaker / Kisa had 51% of the ball to Aalesund's 49%, shots finished 4-18.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aalesund led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ullensaker / Kisa and 1.83 for Aalesund.
What was the final score of Ullensaker / Kisa vs Aalesund?
Ullensaker / Kisa 2-3 Aalesund in the Norway - NM Cup on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ullensaker / Kisa vs Aalesund?
Before kick-off our model rated an Aalesund win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ullensaker / Kisa 37%, draw 20%, Aalesund 43%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aalesund), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.