Vidar 1-2 Haugesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - NM Cup, 24 Apr 2025

📅24/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.34
Draw
22%
4.34
Away Pick
58%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.23
Over
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
39%
4-5
26%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
23%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Haugesund win — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
16%
+4.0pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.9pp
58%
Away Win
64%
-5.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vidar EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Haugesund EU Bookmakers 69%
+72% / +72% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.30/1.51
+45% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -16%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
208 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vidar
1-2
AWAY Haugesund
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vidar vs Haugesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haugesund edged past Vidar 2-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Haugesund as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Vidar had 49% of the ball to Haugesund's 51%, shots finished 10-14.

What was the final score of Vidar vs Haugesund?

Vidar 1-2 Haugesund in the Norway - NM Cup on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vidar vs Haugesund?

Before kick-off our model rated an Haugesund win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Vidar 20%, draw 22%, Haugesund 58%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Haugesund), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Haugesund) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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