Al Taawon vs Al Raed Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Taawon v Al Raed — Team-Based Signals
Al Taawon vs Al Raed Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Al Raed
SUUD
2-1
HT 1-1
Al Raed
SUUD
2-3
HT 1-2
Al Taawon
SUUD
0-3
HT 0-0
Al Taawon
SUUD
Al Taawon 4-3 Al Raed — Actual Match Statistics
Al Taawon edged past Al Raed 4-3. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Al Taawon as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Al Taawon had 56% of the ball to Al Raed's 44%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 2.33 to 2.72.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Taawon had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Taawon and 0.67 for Al Raed.
What was the final score of Al Taawon vs Al Raed?
Al Taawon 4-3 Al Raed in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Taawon vs Al Raed?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Taawon win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Taawon 42%, draw 27%, Al Raed 31%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Taawon), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.