Eltham Redbacks 1-1 Northcote City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AVPL1, 24 Apr 2026

Eltham Redbacks
1-1
Northcote City
📅24/04/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
AVPL1 – 2026

Eltham Redbacks vs Northcote City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
18%
3.72
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.41
No
36%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+7.0pp
18%
Draw
23%
-5.8pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.2pp
64%
BTTS Yes
67%
-2.6pp
36%
BTTS No
33%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Eltham Redbacks v Northcote City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eltham Redbacks EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Northcote City EU Bookmakers 48%
+52% / +52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
2.51/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.98/0.98
+26% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +84% / +72%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Eltham Redbacks vs Northcote City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eltham Redbacks and Northcote City shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 18% / 42% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (64%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

What was the final score of Eltham Redbacks vs Northcote City?

Eltham Redbacks 1-1 Northcote City in the AVPL1 on 24/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eltham Redbacks vs Northcote City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Northcote City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Eltham Redbacks 40%, draw 18%, Northcote City 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Northcote City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Northcote City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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