Vanersborgs IF 2-1 Säffle SK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 24 May 2024

📅24/05/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
2.0
Over 2.5
36%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.73
No
59%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
46%
+17.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
54%
-17.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
54%
-12.7pp
59%
BTTS No
46%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vanersborgs IF EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Säffle SK EU Bookmakers 25%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.56/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.05
-73% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +93%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
428 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vanersborgs IF
2-1
AWAY Säffle SK
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vanersborgs IF vs Säffle SK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vanersborgs IF nicked a narrow win over Säffle SK 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vanersborgs IF as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vanersborgs IF had 46% of the ball to Säffle SK's 54%, shots finished 12-8.

What was the final score of Vanersborgs IF vs Säffle SK?

Vanersborgs IF 2-1 Säffle SK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 24/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vanersborgs IF vs Säffle SK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vanersborgs IF win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Vanersborgs IF 50%, draw 26%, Säffle SK 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vanersborgs IF) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vanersborgs IF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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