Atletico Madrid (K) 3-1 Badalona (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 24 May 2024

📅24/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.37
Draw
33%
4.62
Away
33%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
69%
-35.4pp
33%
Draw
19%
+14.7pp
33%
Away Win
13%
+20.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.0pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Badalona (K) EU Bookmakers 16%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.54/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/2.49
-37% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
19.2 Crosses 13.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Madrid (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Badalona (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.92 xG 0.71
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
368 Passes 152
79% Pass Accuracy 60%
25 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2024 Badalona (K) Badalona (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid (K)
3-1
AWAY Badalona (K)
2.44 xG 1.28
76% Ball Possession 24%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
653 Passes 128
92% Pass Accuracy 61%
36 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid (K) vs Badalona (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid (K) saw off Badalona (K) 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Atletico Madrid (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Atletico Madrid (K) had 76% of the ball to Badalona (K)'s 24%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 2.44 to 1.28.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid (K) vs Badalona (K)?

Atletico Madrid (K) 3-1 Badalona (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 24/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid (K) vs Badalona (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid (K) 33%, draw 33%, Badalona (K) 33%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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