Palestino 0-1 Union Espanola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 24 May 2024

📅24/05/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palestino EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Espanola EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -5%
1.21/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.55
+1% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
277 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
19.3 Crosses 22.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palestino
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Union Espanola
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.35 xG 1.60
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
268 Passes 314
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Palestino Palestino 2-1 HT 1-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
20.03.2023 Union Espanola Union Espanola 2-0 HT 1-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
02.07.2022 Palestino Palestino 1-0 HT 1-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
06.02.2022 Union Espanola Union Espanola 1-1 HT 1-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
09.11.2021 Union Espanola Union Espanola 1-3 HT 0-2 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
01.08.2021 Palestino Palestino 3-2 HT 0-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palestino
0-1
AWAY Union Espanola
0.84 xG 1.58
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 26
3 Shots on Target 11
6 Corners 8
239 Passes 435
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 38
19 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Palestino vs Union Espanola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Espanola edged past Palestino 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Palestino at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Palestino had 39% of the ball to Union Espanola's 61%, shots finished 11-26, expected goals 0.84 to 1.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palestino had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Palestino and 1.17 for Union Espanola.

What was the final score of Palestino vs Union Espanola?

Palestino 0-1 Union Espanola in the Chile - Premier League on 24/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palestino vs Union Espanola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palestino win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Palestino 44%, draw 26%, Union Espanola 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Palestino) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Palestino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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