Jahn Regensburg 2-2 Wehen Wiesbaden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga Play-Out, 24 May 2024

Jahn Regensburg
2-2 HT 1-0
Wehen Wiesbaden
📅24/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga Play-Out – 2023/2024

Jahn Regensburg vs Wehen Wiesbaden Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
29%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.88
2-3 Goals
46%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.05
6+ Goals
9%
19.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.63
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
6%
13.75
X/1
13%
5.15
X/2
14%
5.51
X/X
16%
4.34
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
9%
4.0
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.85
Value flag · 2/X at 13.85 — our 10% vs market 4.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.3pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.4pp
29%
Away Win
35%
-5.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jahn Regensburg v Wehen Wiesbaden — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden EU Bookmakers 38%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-42% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
332 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Jahn Regensburg vs Wehen Wiesbaden Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jahn Regensburg
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.27 xG 1.10
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
341 Passes 240
73% Pass Accuracy 65%
29 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.12.2020 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 0-0 HT 0-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AFK
15.02.2020 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL2
31.08.2019 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 0-5 HT 0-2 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
22.04.2017 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 1-1 HT 0-1 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL3
19.11.2016 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 3-1 HT 1-1 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
04.04.2015 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 3-0 HT 2-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3

Jahn Regensburg 2-2 Wehen Wiesbaden — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jahn Regensburg
2-2
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden
0.61 xG 1.20
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
129 Passes 372
56% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Jahn Regensburg vs Wehen Wiesbaden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jahn Regensburg and Wehen Wiesbaden shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 29% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jahn Regensburg had 33% of the ball to Wehen Wiesbaden's 67%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.61 to 1.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jahn Regensburg had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Jahn Regensburg and 0.33 for Wehen Wiesbaden.

What was the final score of Jahn Regensburg vs Wehen Wiesbaden?

Jahn Regensburg 2-2 Wehen Wiesbaden in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga Play-Out on 24/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jahn Regensburg vs Wehen Wiesbaden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jahn Regensburg win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Jahn Regensburg 39%, draw 32%, Wehen Wiesbaden 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jahn Regensburg), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jahn Regensburg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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