South Adelaide Panthers 1-3 Adelaide City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 24 May 2024

📅24/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.91
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
62%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.98
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
37%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
13%
+3.2pp
21%
Draw
17%
+4.1pp
62%
Away Win
70%
-7.5pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.1pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.4pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South Adelaide Panthers EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide City EU Bookmakers 75%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.93/2.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.14
-11% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -20%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
191 · 60% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South Adelaide Panthers
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Adelaide City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Adelaide City Adelaide City 4-0 HT 2-0 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers AVNPL
20.05.2023 Adelaide City Adelaide City 2-2 HT 1-2 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers AVNPL
27.02.2023 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers 3-1 HT 2-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
06.08.2022 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers 1-3 HT 1-2 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
13.05.2022 Adelaide City Adelaide City 1-1 HT 1-0 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers AVNPL
11.09.2021 Adelaide City Adelaide City 0-0 HT 0-0 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers AVNPL
POST-MATCH South Adelaide Panthers vs Adelaide City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide City beat South Adelaide Panthers 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Adelaide City as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adelaide City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for South Adelaide Panthers and 1.83 for Adelaide City.

What was the final score of South Adelaide Panthers vs Adelaide City?

South Adelaide Panthers 1-3 Adelaide City in the Australia - National Premier League on 24/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South Adelaide Panthers vs Adelaide City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Adelaide City win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split South Adelaide Panthers 17%, draw 21%, Adelaide City 62%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adelaide City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Adelaide City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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