The Strongest 3-2 Guabira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 24 May 2024

📅24/05/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.27
Draw
23%
5.28
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.63
Over 2.5
50%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
74%
-14.0pp
23%
Draw
16%
+7.0pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+7.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
34%
+15.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
66%
-15.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.3pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME The Strongest EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Guabira EU Bookmakers 12%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -17%
1.71/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/2.05
+5% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +1%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
380 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 74%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.2
21.4 Crosses 12.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME The Strongest
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Guabira
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.53 xG 0.91
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
315 Passes 242
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2023 Guabira Guabira 4-1 HT 1-1 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
11.05.2023 The Strongest The Strongest 1-0 HT 1-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
14.05.2022 The Strongest The Strongest 0-0 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
03.04.2022 Guabira Guabira 1-3 HT 0-0 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
26.10.2021 Guabira Guabira 0-0 HT 0-0 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
18.07.2021 The Strongest The Strongest 2-1 HT 2-1 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME The Strongest
3-2
AWAY Guabira
2.60 xG 1.20
58% Ball Possession 42%
24 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
394 Passes 270
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
39 Box Touches 11
27 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH The Strongest vs Guabira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The Strongest nicked a narrow win over Guabira 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had The Strongest as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, The Strongest had 58% of the ball to Guabira's 42%, shots finished 24-12, expected goals 2.60 to 1.20 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold The Strongest's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, The Strongest had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for The Strongest and 1.00 for Guabira.

What was the final score of The Strongest vs Guabira?

The Strongest 3-2 Guabira in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 24/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for The Strongest vs Guabira?

Before kick-off our model rated a The Strongest win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split The Strongest 60%, draw 23%, Guabira 17%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The Strongest) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (The Strongest) ✗ BTTS No
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