Haka 4-3 Oulu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 24 May 2024

Haka
4-3 HT 1-0
Oulu
📅24/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.98
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
27%
3.12
6+ Goals
12%
10.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.93
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
10%
12.7
X/1
9%
4.96
X/2
11%
6.73
X/X
12%
5.04
2/1
8%
24.0
2/2
15%
4.51
2/X
5%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.7pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haka EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Oulu EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.58/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.20
+1% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
316 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 437 · 83%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
22.0 Crosses 20.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haka
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Oulu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.14 xG 1.74
44% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 8
284 Passes 430
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 28
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2024 Oulu Oulu 0-0 HT 0-0 Haka Haka FLK
21.10.2023 Oulu Oulu 1-1 HT 1-0 Haka Haka FİN
01.07.2023 Oulu Oulu 3-0 HT 3-0 Haka Haka FİN
31.05.2023 Oulu Oulu 1-1 HT 0-1 Haka Haka FİK
14.04.2023 Haka Haka 2-2 HT 2-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
24.02.2023 Haka Haka 2-2 HT 2-2 Oulu Oulu FLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haka
4-3
AWAY Oulu
2.64 xG 2.45
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 5
356 Passes 397
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 47
19 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Haka vs Oulu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haka edged past Oulu 4-3. Half-time: 1-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Haka made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Haka had 48% of the ball to Oulu's 52%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 2.64 to 2.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oulu led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Haka and 1.50 for Oulu.

What was the final score of Haka vs Oulu?

Haka 4-3 Oulu in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 24/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haka vs Oulu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Haka win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Haka 40%, draw 27%, Oulu 33%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Haka), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Haka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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