Pharco vs Smouha Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pharco v Smouha — Team-Based Signals
Pharco vs Smouha Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Pharco
MSR
1-0
HT 0-0
Smouha
MSR
0-2
HT 0-2
Pharco
MSR
0-0
HT 0-0
Pharco
MSR
0-0
HT 0-0
Smouha
MSR
Pharco 1-1 Smouha — Actual Match Statistics
Pharco and Smouha couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 35% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (69%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.
On the day, Pharco had 45% of the ball to Smouha's 55%, shots finished 4-6, expected goals 0.22 to 0.33.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Pharco had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Pharco and 0.40 for Smouha.
What was the final score of Pharco vs Smouha?
Pharco 1-1 Smouha in the Egypt - Premier League on 24/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pharco vs Smouha?
Before kick-off our model rated an Smouha win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Pharco 30%, draw 35%, Smouha 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.